── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Daniel Elahi Galan
69%31%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Daniel Elahi Galan
17th · poor
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Daniel Elahi Galan
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#178
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
COL
196cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Daniel Elahi Galan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–1
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Zagreb CH | Clay | R16 | Jan Choinski | 2-6 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2024-10-07 | Valencia CH | Clay | QF | Daniel Elahi Galan | 6-3 3-6 6-2 |
| 2023-07-24 | Hamburg | Clay | Q2 | Jan Choinski | 6-1 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-06-26 | Eastbourne | Grass | Q2 | Daniel Elahi Galan | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-03-27 | Mexico City CH | Clay | R16 | Jan Choinski | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |