── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Alexandre Muller
60%40%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
FRA
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q1 | Alexandre Muller | 7-6(1) 6-3 |
| 2023-01-30 | Koblenz CH | Hard | R16 | Alexandre Muller | 6-3 6-7(4) 7-5 |
| 2022-10-03 | Campinas CH | Clay | QF | Jan Choinski | 6-0 1-6 6-4 |