── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Safiullin 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Choinski
Roman Safiullin
33%67%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#42
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
RUS
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Choinski■ Roman Safiullin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-23Alicante CHClayR16Roman Safiullin6-2 6-3
2026-03-02Thionville CHHardR16Jan Choinski4-6 7-5 7-5