── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Hugo Grenier
75%25%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Hugo Grenier
5th · poor
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Hugo Grenier
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#183
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
FRA
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass0–1
Carpet1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | Q1 | Hugo Grenier | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2023-06-12 | Nottingham CH | Grass | R32 | Hugo Grenier | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-02-13 | Cherbourg CH | Hard | R16 | Jan Choinski | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2015-09-28 | France F20 | Carpet | SF | Jan Choinski | 6-2 6-3 |