── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Choinski a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Choinski
Andrea Vavassori
55%45%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Andrea Vavassori
51th · average
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Andrea Vavassori
17th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#121
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
196cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Choinski■ Andrea Vavassori
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-10-14Olbia CHHardR32Andrea Vavassori6-4 6-0
2017-06-26Poland F3ClayQFJan Choinski6-3 6-3