── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Hugo Gaston
52%48%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#111
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GBR
country
FRA
196cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Braunschweig CH | Clay | F | Jan Choinski | 4-6 6-0 6-4 |