── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Alexei Popyrin
47%53%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
AUS
196cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Eastbourne | Grass | R32 | Jan Choinski | 1-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 2017-08-14 | Germany F11 | Clay | QF | Jan Choinski | 7-5 6-3 |