── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Choinski
Thiago Agustin Tirante
37%63%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 71% / 29%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Thiago Agustin Tirante
26th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Choinski■ Thiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay2–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-14Cincinnati MastersHardR128Thiago Agustin Tirante7-6(9) 6-7(7) 7-6(4)
2023-04-03San Luis Potosi CHClayQFJan Choinski6-4 6-4
2023-03-27Mexico City CHClaySFThiago Agustin Tirante7-6(5) 4-6 6-4
2022-10-31Guayaquil CHClayR32Jan Choinski6-3 7-6(5)