── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Thiago Agustin Tirante
37%63%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Thiago Agustin Tirante
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
196cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Thiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay2–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 7-6(9) 6-7(7) 7-6(4) |
| 2023-04-03 | San Luis Potosi CH | Clay | QF | Jan Choinski | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-03-27 | Mexico City CH | Clay | SF | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 7-6(5) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2022-10-31 | Guayaquil CH | Clay | R32 | Jan Choinski | 6-3 7-6(5) |

