── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Jesper De Jong
52%48%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
NED
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | Q1 | Jan Choinski | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2024-03-25 | Girona CH | Clay | R32 | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 6-3 |