── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Choinski
Francesco Passaro
65%35%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Francesco Passaro
44th · average
Return
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Francesco Passaro
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#162
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ITA
196cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Choinski■ Francesco Passaro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Bonn CH | Clay | R32 | Jan Choinski | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-09-15 | Bad Waltersdorf CH | Clay | QF | Jan Choinski | 7-6(4) 6-3 |