── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes David Goffin a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pedro Martinez
David Goffin
45%55%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
David Goffin
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#151
model rank
#141
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
BEL
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pedro MartinezDavid Goffin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-17Winston-SalemHardR64Pedro Martinez6-3 6-3