── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pedro Martinez
Nicolas Jarry
42%58%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#151
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CHI
185cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pedro Martinez■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Pedro Martinez | 1-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-02-20 | Rio De Janeiro | Clay | R16 | Nicolas Jarry | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-07-25 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | R32 | Pedro Martinez | 7-6(4) 6-3 |