── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pedro Martinez
Tommy Paul
12%88%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 7% / 93%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#151
model rank
#14
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
USA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pedro Martinez■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Grass0–1
Clay0–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Tommy Paul | 6-2 6-1 4-6 6-3 |
| 2021-10-25 | St. Petersburg | Hard | R32 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-05-03 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Tommy Paul | 4-1 RET |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | Q2 | Pedro Martinez | 6-4 6-4 |