── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pedro Martinez
Lorenzo Sonego
35%65%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#157
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Pedro Martinez■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Lorenzo Sonego6-2 2-6 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Pedro Martinez6-4 1-6 6-2