── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pedro Martinez
Lorenzo Sonego
32%68%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#151
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pedro Martinez■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-2 2-6 6-4 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Pedro Martinez | 6-4 1-6 6-2 |