── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jesper De Jong 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pedro Martinez
Jesper De Jong
32%68%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 44% / 56%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Jesper De Jong
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#151
model rank
#84
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
NED
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pedro MartinezJesper De Jong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayQ1Jesper De Jong7-6(5) 7-5
2024-03-25Girona CHClayQFPedro Martinez7-6(4) 3-6 6-2