── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pedro Martinez
Holger Rune
41%59%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#157
model rank
#127
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
DEN
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pedro Martinez■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | Davis Cup QLS R2: DEN vs ESP | Clay | RR | Pedro Martinez | 6-1 4-6 7-6(3) |
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Pedro Martinez | 6-4 6-1 |