── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pedro Martinez
Luciano Darderi
20%80%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#151
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pedro MartinezLuciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard11
Grass01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresClayQFLuciano Darderi7-5 6-1
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Luciano Darderi6-4 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR128Pedro Martinez6-3 4-1 RET
2024-06-24MallorcaGrassR32Luciano Darderi7-5 7-5