── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Ofner a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Ofner
Stan Wawrinka
52%48%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Ofner
65th · average
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Sebastian Ofner
17th · poor
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#110
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUT
country
SUI
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Sebastian OfnerStan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-28Aix-en-Provence CHClayR32Sebastian Ofner6-3 6-4