── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Ofner
Kei Nishikori
48%52%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#136
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUT
country
JPN
191cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Ofner■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | Q1 | Kei Nishikori | 6-1 2-6 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-3 6-4 |