── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Ofner 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Ofner
Roberto Carballes Baena
60%40%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
24th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#136
model rank
#168
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUT
country
ESP
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Ofner■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–1
Hard0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Parma CH | Clay | QF | Sebastian Ofner | 4-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-03-16 | Murcia CH | Clay | QF | Roberto Carballes Baena | 7-6(4) 2-6 6-1 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-3 0-0 RET |
| 2024-01-08 | Auckland | Hard | R16 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 7-5 6-3 |