── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Ofner
Reilly Opelka
42%58%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#136
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUT
country
USA
191cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Ofner■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(6) 7-5 |
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | Clay | Q2 | Sebastian Ofner | 7-5 7-6(2) |