── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Ofner
Tommy Paul
19%81%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 23% / 77%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Ofner
65th · average
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Return
Sebastian Ofner
17th · poor
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#110
model rank
#14
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUT
country
USA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Ofner■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Sebastian Ofner | 1-6 7-5 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-0 |