── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Molcan 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Ofner
Alex Molcan
35%65%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Return
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Alex Molcan
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#136
model rank
#69
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUT
country
SVK
191cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sebastian Ofner■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–2
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-21KitzbuhelClayR32Alex Molcan6-4 6-4
2023-07-31KitzbuhelClayR16Alex Molcan4-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2021-04-19Rome 1 CHClayR32Sebastian Ofner6-7(7) 6-0 6-3
2016-08-29Austria F8ClayR16Sebastian Ofner6-3 7-6(5)