── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Ofner 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Ofner
Hugo Gaston
58%42%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Ofner
65th · average
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Return
Sebastian Ofner
17th · poor
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#110
model rank
#138
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUT
country
FRA
191cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Ofner■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay2–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | Thionville CH | Hard | SF | Sebastian Ofner | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Lille CH | Hard | R32 | Hugo Gaston | 6-2 3-6 6-4 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Mauthausen CH | Clay | QF | Sebastian Ofner | 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2021-09-06 | Tulln CH | Clay | R16 | Hugo Gaston | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2020-10-26 | Hamburg CH | Hard | R16 | Sebastian Ofner | 7-6(5) 6-2 |