── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Sebastian Ofner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
37%63%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Facundo Diaz Acosta
48th · average
Return
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Facundo Diaz Acosta
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#136
model rank
#78
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUT
country
ARG
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Sebastian Ofner■ Facundo Diaz Acosta
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-07Seville CHClayQFFacundo Diaz Acosta7-5 6-2
2023-05-29Roland GarrosClayQ3Sebastian Ofner7-5 6-3