── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Ofner 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Ofner
Luca Nardi
62%38%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#136
model rank
#175
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUT
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Ofner■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Luca Nardi | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-09-18 | Saint-Tropez CH | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Tenerife 1 CH | Hard | R32 | Sebastian Ofner | 7-6(9) 6-7(1) 6-4 |