── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Sebastian Ofner
Alex Michelsen
20%80%
Hard: 12% / 88%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#136
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUT
country
USA
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Sebastian Ofner■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-06-24 | Mallorca | Grass | QF | Sebastian Ofner | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-08-21 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(4) 7-5 |