── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexandre Muller a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexandre Muller
Fabio Fognini
56%44%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Fabio Fognini
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#133
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexandre Muller■ Fabio Fognini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | San Marino CH | Clay | SF | Alexandre Muller | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2023-10-16 | Olbia CH | Hard | R32 | Alexandre Muller | 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(3) |