── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexandre Muller
Kei Nishikori
46%54%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#148
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
JPN
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexandre Muller■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Hong Kong | Hard | F | Alexandre Muller | 2-6 6-1 6-3 |