── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Lennard Struff 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexandre Muller
Jan Lennard Struff
42%58%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#133
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
GER
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexandre MullerJan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Jan Lennard Struff7-6(3) 6-0
2025-11-02AthensHardR32Alexandre Muller6-3 2-6 7-6(6)
2023-01-01Canberra CHHardR16Jan Lennard Struff6-3 6-7(3) 6-4