── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexandre Muller a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexandre Muller
David Goffin
52%48%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
David Goffin
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#133
model rank
#141
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
BEL
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexandre Muller■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | David Goffin | 6-7(6) 6-1 6-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Alexandre Muller | 6-3 3-6 1-0 RET |