── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexandre Muller 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexandre Muller
Elias Ymer
63%37%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#133
model rank
#168
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
SWE
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexandre Muller■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–2
Hard0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Alexandre Muller | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2021-09-06 | Cassis CH | Hard | R32 | Elias Ymer | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2021-04-12 | Split 2 CH | Clay | R32 | Elias Ymer | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2021-04-05 | Split 1 CH | Clay | R32 | Elias Ymer | 6-0 6-4 |