── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexandre Muller
Karen Khachanov
23%77%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 11% / 89%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#133
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexandre Muller■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alexandre Muller | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2021-09-20 | Metz | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 4-6 6-1 6-3 |

