── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexandre Muller
Karen Khachanov
23%77%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#133
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexandre MullerKaren Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-25BeijingHardR32Alexandre Muller4-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2021-09-20MetzHardR32Karen Khachanov4-6 6-1 6-3