── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jan Choinski 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexandre Muller
Jan Choinski
40%60%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Return
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#148
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
GBR
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexandre Muller■ Jan Choinski
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q1 | Alexandre Muller | 7-6(1) 6-3 |
| 2023-01-30 | Koblenz CH | Hard | R16 | Alexandre Muller | 6-3 6-7(4) 7-5 |
| 2022-10-03 | Campinas CH | Clay | QF | Jan Choinski | 6-0 1-6 6-4 |