── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexandre Muller
Felix Auger Aliassime
13%87%
Hard: 12% / 88%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#133
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexandre MullerFelix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Clay02
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR32Felix Auger Aliassime5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2025-05-18HamburgClayQFFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-3
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR64Alexandre Muller6-3 6-2
2018-06-11Lyon CHClayQFFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-1