── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alexandre Muller
Alexei Popyrin
37%63%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#147
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alexandre Muller■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Alexandre Muller | 2-6 6-3 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4) |
| 2020-10-05 | Parma CH | Clay | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 6-4 |