── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexandre Muller
Lorenzo Musetti
15%85%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexandre Muller
27th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Alexandre Muller
37th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#133
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alexandre MullerLorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02AthensHardQFLorenzo Musetti6-2 6-4
2023-04-03MarrakechClayQFAlexandre Muller6-3 1-6 6-4