── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexandre Muller a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alexandre Muller
Federico Cina
55%45%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 43% / 57%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Federico Cina
10th · poor
Return
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Federico Cina
23th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#147
model rank
#163
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alexandre Muller■ Federico Cina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-26ChengduHardR16Alexandre Muller7-6(3) 6-1
2026-03-30MarrakechClayR32Alexandre Muller6-2 6-3