── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Nick Kyrgios
82%18%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Nick Kyrgios
96th · elite
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Nick Kyrgios
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#187
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
211cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Nick Kyrgios
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-01 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Nick Kyrgios | 7-6(1) 6-2 |
| 2022-04-04 | Houston | Clay | SF | Reilly Opelka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Reilly Opelka | 4-6 7-6(4) 6-4 |