── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Kamil Majchrzak 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Reilly Opelka
Kamil Majchrzak
39%61%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 20% / 80%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Kamil Majchrzak
64th · average
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Kamil Majchrzak
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#100
model rank
#60
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
POL
211cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Reilly Opelka■ Kamil Majchrzak
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR16Kamil Majchrzak6-7(2) 7-6(7) 7-6(8)
2018-01-01Playford CHHardR16Reilly Opelka7-6(9) 7-6(8)