── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Rinderknech 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Reilly Opelka
Arthur Rinderknech
34%66%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#100
model rank
#44
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
211cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Reilly Opelka■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubGrassR16Arthur Rinderknech7-5 7-6(3)
2025-03-11Phoenix CHHardR32Reilly Opelka4-6 7-5 7-5
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR128Arthur Rinderknech6-4 7-6(5)