── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Stefanos Tsitsipas
35%65%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GRE
211cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | SF | Reilly Opelka | 6-7(2) 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 5-6 RET |