── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Aleksandar Vukic
60%40%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#145
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
211cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | Q2 | Aleksandar Vukic | W/O |
| 2015-08-10 | USA F25 | Hard | R16 | Reilly Opelka | 6-3 7-6(6) |