── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Casper Ruud
18%82%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
NOR
211cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
Clay0–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2022-05-16 | Geneva | Clay | SF | Casper Ruud | 7-6(2) 7-5 |
| 2021-09-24 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-7(5) 6-0 7-6(4) |
| 2019-04-08 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Casper Ruud | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2017-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(2) 6-3 |