── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Corentin Moutet
50%50%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
211cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Corentin Moutet | 3-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-04-29 | Aix-en-Provence CH | Clay | R16 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(3) 7-6(3) |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(3) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2019-05-20 | Lyon | Clay | R32 | Corentin Moutet | 6-3 2-6 7-6(10) |