── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Reilly Opelka
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
45%55%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#100
model rank
#82
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
211cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Reilly OpelkaCamilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubGrassR32Reilly Opelka7-6(6) 6-4