── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
57%43%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
17th · poor
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#131
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
211cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(6) 6-4 |