── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Sebastian Baez
47%53%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#89
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ARG
211cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings