── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Brandon Nakashima
33%67%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
211cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-5 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 |
| 2025-02-10 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Brandon Nakashima | 3-6 7-5 6-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | Hard | QF | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(4) 6-2 |