── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Jesper De Jong
53%47%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Jesper De Jong
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
NED
211cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | R32 | Reilly Opelka | 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 |