── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Alexander Shevchenko
56%44%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#124
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
KAZ
211cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Reilly Opelka | 6-3 7-5 7-6(4) |
| 2025-02-03 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(3) 6-4 |